Brazil Stocks Sink As Jim Chanos Slams Petrobras

October 22, 2014

Kenneth Rapoza – Forbes, 10/21/2014

Sometimes all it takes is a celebrity investor to say something bad about a market and the investor riff-raff go running for the door. On Monday, famed investor and regular CNBC guest Jim Chanos said Brazilian state owned oil company was not an investment, but an investment scheme. He was referring to what most Petrobras watchers already know — that the company is used by the government as a revenue stream, and as a means to control inflation as it keeps a lock on gasoline prices.

Chanos said this on a day when Petrobras shares had down their usual mega-drop, falling 6% in a day. Less than 12 hours later, the stock opened 6% lower on Tuesday following Chanos’ guidance. He’s laughing all the way to the bank this week.

And while every broker and trader on the Bovespa floor in São Paulo needs something to tell newswire reporters about the wild drop in Brazilian equities today, it is very unlikely that the recent poll by Datafolha showing incumbent Dilma Rousseff neck and neck with challenger Aécio Neves is any reason for investors to sell Brazil. Business Insider gets it. Linette Lopez wrote in a headline today that Chanos Tanked Brazil.

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Brazil’s Rousseff pulls ahead of Neves as election nears

October 22, 2014

Anthony Boadle – Reuters, 10/22/2014

Brazilian President Dilma Rousseff pulled ahead of opposition candidate Aecio Neves in another poll on Wednesday and looks like a slight favorite heading into what is expected to be the country’s tightest election in decades.

The Datafolha poll was the fourth in three days to show Rousseff approaching Sunday’s runoff vote with a slight edge over Neves, who had stirred investor enthusiasm by promising business-friendly policies to revive a sluggish economy.

Brazil’s stocks and currency have sold off this week as Neves lost momentum in a race that he was recently leading. The benchmark Bovespa stock index hovered above a four-month low on Wednesday, and the real seesawed near its weakest level since 2008.

 

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Economic Affairs Dominate Brazil’s Latest Presidential Debate

October 20, 2014

TeleSUR, 10/20/2014

Candidates Dilma Rousseff and Aecio Neves held their third televised presidential debate late on Sunday, a week before the second round run off election. Both candidates avoided personal attacks and addressed key issues on the economy.

​One week before Brazil’s presidential election run-off, current President and candidate Dilma Rousseff held a televised debate with her rival right-wing candidate Aecio Neves, late on Sunday. Both candidates centred the discussion on inflation, unemployment, and the economy in general.

Rousseff attacked Neves for his plans to appoint, a former president of the Central Bank, Arminio Fraga, as Finance Minister. Fraga headed the Central Bank the last time Neve’s Social Democratic Party was last in power, headed by Fernando Cardoso. Dilma reminded Neves that Fraga had been partly responsible for the high inflation levels during that government.

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Brazil’s Rousseff Admits There Was Wrongdoing at Petrobras

October 20, 2014

Paulo Trevisani – The Wall Street Journal, 10/19/2014

Brazil’s President Dilma Rousseff said Saturday that there was embezzlement at government-controlled oil producer Petróleo Brasileiro SA .

The company, known as Petrobras, has been at the center of a corruption scandal allegedly involving people connected to Mr. Rousseff’s Workers Party, or PT.

“I will do all I can to reimburse the country,” Ms. Rousseff said during a news conference at the presidential residence late in the afternoon. “There was” deviation of public money, she said according to a transcript of the interview published on her official campaign website.

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Brazil’s markets track election polls

October 20, 2014

Joseph Leahy – Financial Times, 10/20/2014

When Frederico Perin looks at the Brazilian stock market these days, he is not studying company fundamentals or even the trading charts very much. For the founder of language website Idioma Fácil and thousands of other day traders and retail investors like him, the perceived fortunes of the candidates in Brazil’s 2014 presidential election next Sunday are more important for the markets.

Every surge in the polls by Dilma Rousseff, the incumbent president, who is unpopular with investors for her perceived economic interventionism, weakens stocks and the currency. Every gain for Aécio Neves, the pro-business opposition candidate, has the inverse effect.

Ms Rousseff won the first round of the election with 42 per cent compared with 34 per cent for Mr Neves but they are now neck-and-neck in the polls.

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Petrobras scandal adds fuel to Brazil’s fiery election campaign

October 16, 2014

Joe Leahy – Financial Times, 10/15/2014

Common wisdom has it that Brazilians have become so desensitised to political scandals – so frequent are they on all sides of the political spectrum – that they make little difference in elections.

But there are signs that what could end up being Brazil’s biggest corruption case – the alleged kickbacks from state-owned oil company Petrobras – could be different. Politicians from the Workers’ party-led ruling coalition are accused of skimming 3 per cent off billions of dollars of contracts signed by Petrobras ahead of the election of incumbent president Dilma Rousseff in 2010.

Not only are Brazilians taking more notice of this scandal – one Facebook user complained last week it meant he was paying 3 cents of every dollar to the Workers’ party, or PT, whenever he fills his car with petrol. “Better to ride a bicycle,” he said.

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Neves would return to basics to fix Brazilian economy: adviser

October 16, 2014

Alonso Soto and Jefferson Ribeiro – Reuters, 10/15/2014

Aecio Neves would scrap a “failed” economic model and restore the pillars of Brazil’s economy to overcome slow growth and high inflation if he wins the presidency this month, the candidate’s pick for finance minister told Reuters on Wednesday.

Neves, a centrist who has promised to rescue Brazil from recession, is running neck-and-neck with leftist President Dilma Rousseff ahead of the Oct. 26 run-off vote in the tightest race in two decades.

Sluggish growth and high inflation have been the focus of a combative campaign that pits two candidates with opposing views on how to fix the ills of the world’s seventh largest economy. Arminio Fraga, a former central bank chief, said the senator would restore the so-called “tripod” of economic policies based on fiscal austerity, inflation targeting and a free floating exchange rate that gave Brazil stability two decades ago.

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