Connor Adams Sheets – International Business Times, 10/23/2014
Brazilian President Dilma Rousseff appears likely to beat Senator Aecio Neves as Sunday’s presidential runoff nears. Recent polls show Rousseff leading Neves by about 4 percentage points in what is widely seen as a referendum on the country’s economy, Reuters reported Thursday.
Rousseff, who is seeking her second term, appears to have the momentum three days before voters go to the polls, but the result is anything but guaranteed, as her lead is close to the margin of error and Neves’ fiscally conservative policies have generated excitement among many voters. But financial markets appear to be going on the assumption that Rousseff will win, according to a Forbes analysis.
Brazil’s major polling firms, Ibope and Datafolha, show Rousseff with a lead greater than the margin of error, which is plus or minus 2 percentage points for both. Rousseff has 49 percent against 41 percent for Neves, according to Ibope, and 48 percent over 42 percent for Neves, according to Datafolha.