David Biller – Bloomberg Business, 7/13/2015
Brazil analysts raised their 2016 forecast for the benchmark Selic rate as the central bank vows to slow inflation to target by the end of next year.
Analysts increased their forecast for the Selic rate at end-2016 to 12.25 percent from 12.06 percent the prior week, according to the July 10 central bank survey of about 100 analysts published Monday. That’s the second straight increase of analysts’ median forecast. They also reduced their 2016 inflation prediction for the second time, to 5.44 percent from 5.45 percent.
Brazil’s inflation is running at almost double the target as the government raises regulated prices and a weaker currency fuels the price of imports. The central bank, which raised the key rate in the past six meetings, will continue to lift borrowing costs even as the economy heads to its deepest recession in 25 years.