Key Issues

Silva surges in Brazil election poll, runoff looks certain

Anthony Boadle – Reuters, 8/19/2014

Marina Silva’s entry into Brazil’s presidential race will almost certainly force the October election into a second-round runoff and the environmentalist could even unseat President Dilma Rousseff, according to a poll released on Monday.

It showed Silva with the support of 21 percent of voters, almost three times more than center-left candidate Eduardo Campos, who she is poised to replace on the Brazilian Socialist Party’s ticket after his death last week in a plane crash.

Read full article here.

Death of Brazil’s Presidential Candidate Resets Election

Raymond Colitt, Julia Leite and David Biller – Bloomberg, 8/14/2014

The death of Brazilian presidential candidate Eduardo Campos yesterday resets a contentious campaign less than two months before the election.

Campos died when his small plane crashed in Sao Paulo state following an aborted landing attempt because of bad weather. President Dilma Rousseff and candidate Aecio Neves said they are suspending their campaigns to attend his wake. Campos’s running mate, Marina Silva, said it’s time to mourn and didn’t comment on whether she would replace him.

Read full article here.

The Outlook of Brazil’s October Elections by the Country’s Leading Pollster

Brazil Institute, 8/4/2014

During the Brazil Institute’s event on July 29, 2014, Mauro Paulino and Carlos Eduardo Lins da Silva provided their insight on the upcoming Presidential elections in Brazil. Paulino, through his work with the prominent Brazil-based research institute, Datafolha, revealed past as well as present statistics and predictions to shed light on the development of voter intention in the upcoming October elections.

Read full article here and see featured presentation here.

Electorate hopes for a government that unites growth with inclusion, says professor

Gabriel Manzano – O Estado de S. Paulo, 8/4/2014

The Brazilian electorate is communicating to the candidates for Presidency two clear messages: it wants growth, but without discontinuing the enlargement of social inclusion. “The candidate that convinces the voter that it will continue to stabilize the current (economic) crisis in a manner of greater inclusion and greater increase of the job market will most likely be the one who receives the greatest support,” notes the political scientist Leonardo Avritzer, from the Federal University of Minas Gerais and president of the Brazilian Association of Political Scientists (ABCP).

Read full translated article here.

Datafolha indicates a draw in the second round between Dilma and Aécio

Brasil Post – 7/17/2014

Candidate for reelection in the race for the Planalto Palace, President Dilma Rousseff (PT) fluctuated two percentage points lower in the last study by Instituto Datafolha, revealed this Thursday (17), and she emerges now with 36% of intended votes. Second place in the first round simulation of the presidential elections, Aécio Neves (PSDB) remains with 20%, the same percentage obtained in the last study. Eduardo Campos (PSB), in turn, fluctuated from 9% to 8%.

Read full translated article here.

2014 Elections

Sergio Fausto – O Estado de S. Paulo, 2/28/2014

Challenges abound for the next presidential term.  There are several symptoms indicating that the “new development model,” the “new paradigm of the political economy,” or all the other pompous names one wishes to assign to the policies of the current government, have not produced the expected results. There is a widespread feeling both here and abroad that we are improvising and kicking the can down the road. For how long will this last?

Read full translated article here.

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